Inland Empire Economic Forecast & Analysis
Delivering Expert Economic Insights on the Local Region for Nearly 15 Years
CMC Professor of Economics Manfred Keil leads the Inland Empire economic forecast research team at the Lowe Institute, providing data-driven analysis to business and government leaders in the region.
Professor Keil, who is the Associate Director of the Lowe Institute and Chief Economist at the Inland Empire Economic Partnership (IEEP), has been leading the forecast team made up of student research assistants since 2009. In addition to the Lowe Institute’s annual Inland Empire “State of the Region” report, Professor Keil and his team also publish reports throughout the year with economic data and analysis for the Inland Empire, Southern California, and the state of California.
Our annual Inland Empire “State of the Region” report includes national, state, and regional trends related to:
- GDP growth
- Household spending
- Unemployment rates
- The housing market
- Inflation
Don’t hesitate to review our latest State of the Region forecast or explore our other regional economic reports.
2024 Reports and Publications
04-04-2024 "There's More to the Economy than Unemployment Rates" by Manfred Keil and Robert Kleinhenz (link to pdf)
03-22-2024 "February 2024 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil
03-15-2024 "Where is Employment Heading in the Inland Empire: The January 2024 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil and Ivan Kolesnikov
03-08-2024 "January 2024 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil
03-03-2024 "To Ship or Not To Ship: Logistics Drives Southern California’s Bifurcated Recovery" by Annika Johnson and Manfred Keil
01-22-2024 "Bifurcated Economic Recovery from the Coronavirus Recession: And the Winner is…?" by Manfred Keil and Arlo Jay
2023 Reports and Publications
01-19-2023 "December 2023 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil
12-27-2023 "November 2023 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil
12-15-2023 The San Bernardino SUN: What is the outlook for the economy in the U.S. and the Inland Empire? by Jinghan Hu, Manfred Keil and Ivan Kolesnikov (pdf)
11-17-2023 "October 2023 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil
10-21-2023: "September 2023 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil
10-11-2023 "Annual Coachella Valley Economic Partnership Economic Report" by Manfred Keil
10-08-2023 The San Bernardino SUN: "What explains losses in warehousing employment in the Inland Empire?" by Manfred Keil, Johannes Moenius, and Ivan Kolesnikov (pdf)
10-1-2023: "The Logistics Industry - Quo Vadis?" by Manfred Keil, Johannes Moenius, and Ivan Kolesnikov
9-21-2023: "August 2023 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil
9-8-2023: "The End is Near: Hard Landing or Soft Landing?" by Manfred Keil and Jinghan Hu
8-21-2023: "July 2023 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil and Rena O’Sullivan
7-21-2023: "June 2023 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil
6-19-2023: "The May 2023 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil – IEEP News Release
6-05-2023: "California’s Competitiveness: A Regional Approach" – Los Angeles Area Chamber of Commerce
6-5-2023: "A Recently Released Report Finds that Businesses Continue to Relocate to More Business-Friendly States But Offers Recommendations to Help California Stem the Tide" – Los Angeles Area Chamber of Commerce Press Release
3-30-2023: "The State of the Region: The Inland Empire 2023"
2022 Reports and Publications
11-18-2022: "The October 2022 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil – Inland Empire Economic Partnership (IEEP) News Release
10-21-2022: "The September 2022 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil – Inland Empire Economic Partnership (IEEP) News Release
9-30-2022: “Is there an increased probability of recession within the next 12 months?” by Manfred Keil and Robert A. Kleinhenz – San Bernardino Sun
9-24-2022: “‘Red Light Green Light’ – Now Yellow Light?" by Manfred Keil and Robert A. Kleinhenz
9-16-2022: "August 2022 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil – Inland Empire Economic Partnership (IEEP) News Release
8-17-2022: “Running up that (price) hill with 8.5% inflation” by Jinghan Hu and Manfred Keil – San Bernardino Sun
8-22-2022: "The July 2022 Employment Report" by Manfred Keil – Inland Empire Economic Partnership (IEEP) News Release
8-08-2022: “An Investigation into the Probability That This is the Last Year of a U.S. Economic Expansion” by Manfred Keil, Edward Leamer, Yao Li
8-03-2022: “National recession vs. Inland Empire recession, where do we stand?” by Manfred Keil, Robert A. Kleinhenz and Muxi Li – San Bernardino Sun
5-28-2022: “Forecasting Economic Activity for the Nation and State” (Presentation) by Manfred Keil
5-20-2022: “Good Things Hardly Come Twice – How About Bad Things?” by Manfred Keil and Yao Li
5-20-2022: “The April 2022 Employment Report” by Manfred Keil – Inland Empire Economic Partnership (IEEP) News Release
5-15-2022: “Job Gains Continue in IE and the Nation” by Manfred W. Keil and Robert A. Kleinhenz – San Bernardino Sun
3-25-2022: “The State of the Region: The Inland Empire 2022” by Manfred Keil, Robert Kleinhenz, Fernando Lozano, Johannes Moenius, Barbara Sirotnik
2-04-2022: “Inland Empire’s Recovery in 2021 and Outlook for 2022” by Manfred W. Keil and Robert A. Kleinhenz
1-21-2022: “The December 2021 Employment Report” by Manfred Keil – Inland Empire Economic Partnership (IEEP) News Release
2021 Reports and Publications
12-17-2021: “21 Things to be Thankful for in 2021” by Sarah Chen and Manfred Keil
12-17-2021: “November Employment Report” by Manfred Keil – Inland Empire Economic Partnership (IEEP) News Release
11-19-2021: “The October Employment Report” by Manfred Keil – Inland Empire Economic Partnership (IEEP) News Release
10-22-2021 “The September Economic Report” by Manfred Keil – Inland Empire Economic Partnership (IEEP) News Release
9-17-21: “Americans’ Inflation Fears Reach a Fever Pitch as Consumer Prices Rise” by Manfred Keil and Robert Kleinhenz – Inland Empire Economic Partnership (IEEP) Op-Ed
9-9-21: “The Inland Empire strikes back with its economic recovery” by Manfred Keil and Lauren Kula – San Bernardino Sun
5-7-21: “Latest U.S. Data Means Good News for the Inland Empire Economy” by Manfred W. Keil and Robert A. Kleinhenz
4-21-2021: “The economy’s going to be hot this summer” by Manfred Keil and Robert A. Kleinhenz – Inland Valley Daily Bulletin
3-24-2022: “2021 Real Estate Market Forecast” featuring Manfred Keil (Facebook Video)
3-17-21: “Dr. Manfred Keil Discusses the Economy One Year After the Start of the Pandemic” – KVCR 91.9
2020 Reports and Publications
3-18-20: “2020 Real Estate Market Forecast Amid COVID-19” featuring Manfred Keil (Facebook video)
3-13-20: “Inland Empire Together: Responding to the Coronavirus” Webinar by IEEP at Loma Linda University (Vimeo video)
2-01-21: “2020 CVEP Greater Palm Springs Economic Report”
3-12-19: “Inland Empire Economic Report 2021”
Ask About Our Research
Want to know more about our Inland Empire forecasts and other regional economic reports? Whether you’re a member of the media or local stakeholder, we invite you to reach out to our team.